Hi Seth,
First, Thanks for the guide, it's very helpful to everone.
Second, this calculation is not accurate. Assume, the chance to shiny is 1/2. Therefore, according this calculation, the chance to shiny for 5 hord is 5/2.
5/2 is bigger than 1 and it is not possible.
The calculation should be based on Binomial theory.
Exmaple - 5 hord - (5nCr1)*(1/30000)*(1-1/30000)^4
The link at the end is broken/unaccesible.
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