Damian

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

if you bought the physical rom you can still play it via emulator since you extracted the rom for pokemmo. unless you lied and you wouldnt do that, would you?????

They rotate montly, it's Entei in Johto and Zapdos in Kanto this month. You can read the details of how they work in the guide above.

who are you, I only trust DamianTe

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

The shiny warning is a QOL feature, not essential. The devs are probably lumping the fix into an upcoming balance fix for the event, which is what normally happens during events. If you're a normal player who pays attention while playing this is unlikely to affect you. I'm sure if you were running a bot that relied on the check, this would be very annoying, though 🙂

The shiny warning is a QOL feature, not essential. The devs are probably lumping the fix into an upcoming balance fix for the event, which is what normally happens during events. If you're a normal player who pays attention while playing this is unlikely to affect you. I'm sure if you were running a bot that relied on the check, this would be very annoying, though 🙂

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

Hello,
 
In the client's settings, navigate to Settings -> Gameplay ->Disable overworld flash and enable this setting, then save your settings and let us know if this is better for you.
 
Hope this helps 🙂

That makes no sense. Johto isn't complete without Kanto. The storyline hasn't ended there.

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

Thank you for a math lesson sensei. 

Commenting here, since the OP also PM'd me complaining about this topic:
 
To expand on this reply, "Pseudo-random" doesn't actually imply anything about the quality of the random numbers generated. Instead, it defines how the randomness pool used by an algorithm came to be (pseudo-random entropy sources), the algorithm used, or could express an RNG which can be replayed with the same seed (pseudo-random number generator).
 
Pseudo-random entropy means that the randomness of a number generator is achieved through software means (i.e. by using the computer's own entropy sources) instead of through a hardware card which reads something which is believed to be truly random (like the background radiation of the universe or electrical noise). Hardware like this is only really necessary when dealing with problems like regulated gaming at casinos, high security applications, or applications where you need a lot of random numbers really fast (like internet certificate authorities).
 
CSPRNG is a class of random number generation which is widely regarded as "secure enough for everything important in your life." It's designed by people much smarter than anyone who makes this game and is what we use for the game's economically-relevant RNG (i.e. your shiny rolls, personality values, IVs, etc.). We figure that if it's good enough to secure your financial accounts, it's good enough to make your shiny rates fair.
 
For implementation-specific concerns, dive into how Linux generates random numbers.

Theoretically yes; I haven't confirmed this but I would hope that it indicates land/water for Suicune and the birds and just Land for the other two dogs
 
It should be player-dependent; IIRC it updates in the dex when you catch that month's legendary
It doesn't belong to a route; players select locations like Five Isle Meadow and Johto route 45 due to the presence of desirable lure shinies which one can passively hunt for while trying to encounter the legendary. The legendary encounter just has a chance to replace a normal encounter.
All we know is it's somewhere between 1/1000 and 1/8000.
 
I would expect hordes can only drop 1 orb just like you only get one item via Pickup for hordes. No-one knows the drop rate; you can do some farming and collect some data and if you get enough I'm happy to include it in the guide and credit you 🙂

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

Hi,
 
The probability of succeeding a random event with probability p exactly x times given n trials is given by the following formula:

 
In your case:
- n=25000
- p=1/24,300
- x=1
 
This gives:
P(x) = 25000C1 * (1/24300)^1 * (1-1/24300)^(25000-1)
 
Simplifying:
P(x) = 25000 * (1/24300) * (0.9999588)^24999
P(x) = (25000/24300) * 0.357
P(x) = 0.3677
 
Or approximately 37% chance to have found a shiny given the number of trials and conditions you specified (note that this is the chance for exactly one, the chance for at least one is a bit higher than this).
 
I believe your original question was:
 
The chance to succeed on any given trial (p above) does not change if you change the number of trials (n above). You can clearly see that they have different values in the formula, so changing one doesn't influence the other.
 
If however you change the value of n, the value of P(x) will change. That is, as you do more trials, the chance that you succeed once will increase. This is the part most people get confused about - they mix up the chance to succeed on a particular trial (p) with the chance to succeed after some number of trials (P(x)). The incorrect belief that increasing the number of trials influences the chance of success on a particular trial where the events are statistically independent is known as The Gambler's Fallacy.
 
I hope this clarifies.

Hi,
 
The probability of succeeding a random event with probability p exactly x times given n trials is given by the following formula:

 
In your case:
- n=25000
- p=1/24,300
- x=1
 
This gives:
P(x) = 25000C1 * (1/24300)^1 * (1-1/24300)^(25000-1)
 
Simplifying:
P(x) = 25000 * (1/24300) * (0.9999588)^24999
P(x) = (25000/24300) * 0.357
P(x) = 0.3677
 
Or approximately 37% chance to have found a shiny given the number of trials and conditions you specified (note that this is the chance for exactly one, the chance for at least one is a bit higher than this).
 
I believe your original question was:
 
The chance to succeed on any given trial (p above) does not change if you change the number of trials (n above). You can clearly see that they have different values in the formula, so changing one doesn't influence the other.
 
If however you change the value of n, the value of P(x) will change. That is, as you do more trials, the chance that you succeed once will increase. This is the part most people get confused about - they mix up the chance to succeed on a particular trial (p) with the chance to succeed after some number of trials (P(x)). The incorrect belief that increasing the number of trials influences the chance of success on a particular trial where the events are statistically independent is known as The Gambler's Fallacy.
 
I hope this clarifies.

Hi,
 
The probability of succeeding a random event with probability p exactly x times given n trials is given by the following formula:

 
In your case:
- n=25000
- p=1/24,300
- x=1
 
This gives:
P(x) = 25000C1 * (1/24300)^1 * (1-1/24300)^(25000-1)
 
Simplifying:
P(x) = 25000 * (1/24300) * (0.9999588)^24999
P(x) = (25000/24300) * 0.357
P(x) = 0.3677
 
Or approximately 37% chance to have found a shiny given the number of trials and conditions you specified (note that this is the chance for exactly one, the chance for at least one is a bit higher than this).
 
I believe your original question was:
 
The chance to succeed on any given trial (p above) does not change if you change the number of trials (n above). You can clearly see that they have different values in the formula, so changing one doesn't influence the other.
 
If however you change the value of n, the value of P(x) will change. That is, as you do more trials, the chance that you succeed once will increase. This is the part most people get confused about - they mix up the chance to succeed on a particular trial (p) with the chance to succeed after some number of trials (P(x)). The incorrect belief that increasing the number of trials influences the chance of success on a particular trial where the events are statistically independent is known as The Gambler's Fallacy.
 
I hope this clarifies.

Hi,
 
The probability of succeeding a random event with probability p exactly x times given n trials is given by the following formula:

 
In your case:
- n=25000
- p=1/24,300
- x=1
 
This gives:
P(x) = 25000C1 * (1/24300)^1 * (1-1/24300)^(25000-1)
 
Simplifying:
P(x) = 25000 * (1/24300) * (0.9999588)^24999
P(x) = (25000/24300) * 0.357
P(x) = 0.3677
 
Or approximately 37% chance to have found a shiny given the number of trials and conditions you specified (note that this is the chance for exactly one, the chance for at least one is a bit higher than this).
 
I believe your original question was:
 
The chance to succeed on any given trial (p above) does not change if you change the number of trials (n above). You can clearly see that they have different values in the formula, so changing one doesn't influence the other.
 
If however you change the value of n, the value of P(x) will change. That is, as you do more trials, the chance that you succeed once will increase. This is the part most people get confused about - they mix up the chance to succeed on a particular trial (p) with the chance to succeed after some number of trials (P(x)). The incorrect belief that increasing the number of trials influences the chance of success on a particular trial where the events are statistically independent is known as The Gambler's Fallacy.
 
I hope this clarifies.

Q. There are legendaries in the game now?????
A. Yes, Shaymin has been in the game since the Chinese New Year event in February :^)
Serious answer: Yes, the legendary beasts have been released for permanent capture as part of the Johto region launch. The legendary birds are available as of the Xmas 2023 event.
 
Q. Which roaming legendaries are obtainable?
A. The roaming legendaries rotate every IRL month. Suicune was available in August 2023, Raikou is available in September of 2023, and Entei will be available in October of 2023. Then the rotation will begin again, so Suicune will be available in November 2023, Raikou in December 2023, Entei in January 2024, etc. The same is true for Articuno in Dec 2023, Zapdos in Jan 2024, and Moltres in Feb 2024 etc.
 
Q. How do I encounter a roaming legendary?
A. For legendary beasts, defeat the Ho-Oh boss fight during the Johto storyline; after this, the current month's beast will become obtainable in all exterior grass locations in Johto except the Safari Zone (Suicune can also be found while surfing). The chance to encounter it is very low (players report it as less than 0.1%).
For legendary birds, obtain 8 badges in Kanto, then the bird of the month can be found in the same way in any exterior location in Kanto including the Sevii Isles.
The chance to encounter a roaming legendary is not affected by Lures (although Lures will increase the overall rate of wild encounters), nor can it be Repel-tricked, nor do Intimidate/Pressure improve the chance to find it by suppressing other encounters of a lower level. It replaces an otherwise normal encounter.
There are no "legendary locks", it's just a very low encounter rate. The roaming legend encounter will not replace a summoned Sweet Scent horde, but it can replace a horde or multi-encounter found while running, either with or without a Lure active.
 
Q. What happens if I fail to capture the roaming legendary or kill or flee from it by accident?
A. You can re-encounter it as normal, except that the chance to encounter it will significantly increase if you fail to catch it.
 
Q. Can the roaming legendary be shiny? Can I shiny hunt them?
A. Yes, like alphas, the shininess is rolled on the first encounter and fixed afterwards for subsequent encounters. This means that you can't repeat encounters in the same month to try to get a shiny one, ie shiny hunting them in the traditional sense is not possible.
 
Q. How many roaming legendaries can I catch?
A. One per character, per region, per monthly rotation. If you caught Suicune in August, you can catch another one in November. If you caught Zapdos in Kanto in Jan 2024, you can still catch Entei in Johto if you haven't caught one in Jan 2024 already.
 
Q. Do I need to capture Suicune to catch Raikou? Do I only get one legendary?
A. No, they're independent from one another. You can catch all 3, and you can catch duplicates of the same one as long as you wait for the next monthly cycle. Once you catch one for the month, you won't encounter a second one. You cannot catch the previous month's beast until the next rotation if you missed it.
EDIT: This was previously bugged such that if you had caught Suicune you would unable to encounter Raikou. This has since been fixed.
 
Q. Can I change their IVs/natures?
A. Yes; the legendary beasts' IVs can be increased/decreased using Rainbow Quills. The birds can have their IVs increased/decreased via Elemental Orbs. The natures can be changed using Nature Herbs.
 
Q. How do I obtain Rainbow Quills/Nature Herbs/Elemental Orbs?
A. You get a fixed number (20) of Quills when you catch a beast. You can gain additional ones by using the Pickup ability or through player pickup in Johto only (not other regions). Nature Herbs drop randomly when harvesting Gracidea plants. Elemental Orbs drop randomly when defeating a wild pokemon with a move matching the elemental type of the bird in battle (eg faint wild mons with Zapdos using an Electric-type move for a chance at Elemental Orbs).
 
Q. Are they dogs or cats or some other animal?
A. I have called them dogs since I was single-digit years old, so they're dogs to me.

You spelled diva wrong

Who are those developers? If you refer to me and Damian, we are not developers and never were, even when we were GameMasters. We never had any roles in development as that is for the development team (Desu, Shu, Kyu, Rache and Vukooo).
 
Also, if you aren't enjoying the game, nobody is forcing you stay. If you stay I do however wish you best of luck with your hunting. 🙂  

Hi, development information about the game such as client/server code is proprietary and the devs will not share it with players. They also don't take new applicants to the development team in general.
 
What is the intention of your question? As the article you link advises, it's effectively impossible to use "true" randomness in most computing applications, and thus secure pseudorandom generators are broadly accepted for use. Even if you knew the pseudorandom number generator method and the seed, it'd still be effectively impossible to use it to predict anything about the game unless you knew every other player's actions as well and could predict them in real-time.

Theoretically yes; I haven't confirmed this but I would hope that it indicates land/water for Suicune and the birds and just Land for the other two dogs
 
It should be player-dependent; IIRC it updates in the dex when you catch that month's legendary
It doesn't belong to a route; players select locations like Five Isle Meadow and Johto route 45 due to the presence of desirable lure shinies which one can passively hunt for while trying to encounter the legendary. The legendary encounter just has a chance to replace a normal encounter.
All we know is it's somewhere between 1/1000 and 1/8000.
 
I would expect hordes can only drop 1 orb just like you only get one item via Pickup for hordes. No-one knows the drop rate; you can do some farming and collect some data and if you get enough I'm happy to include it in the guide and credit you 🙂